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China March official manufacturing PMI51.8, expected 51.7, the former value of 51.6.

3月 31, 2017

China March official manufacturing PMI51.8, expected 51.7, the former value of 51.6. The official non-manufacturing PMI55.1, the former value of 54.2. The Bureau of Statistics said that this month reflects the proportion of enterprises with tight funds rebounded, rose to 41.1%, especially small businesses with the improvement of operating conditions, more than 50% of enterprises reflect the financing difficult to finance the problem.

In March 2017, China's manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) was 51.8%, rising for two consecutive months, up from 0.2 percentage points last month, and the manufacturing sector continued to maintain a steady trend.

According to the scale of enterprises, the PMI of large enterprises was 53.3%, unchanged from the previous month, and maintained steady growth. The PMI of medium-sized enterprises was 50.4%, 0.1 percentage points lower than that of last month, and the PMI was 48.6% Month rose 2.2 percentage points, the contraction rate was significantly narrowed.

From the classification index, the production index, the new order index and the supplier delivery time index are higher than the critical point in the five classification indices constituting the manufacturing PMI. The employee index is at the critical point and the raw material inventory index is lower than the critical point.

Production index was 54.2%, up 0.5 percentage points from the previous month, located in the expansion range, indicating that manufacturing growth continues to accelerate.

The new orders index was 53.3%, higher than the previous month 0.3 percentage points, located above the critical point, indicating that the manufacturing market demand continues to grow.

Employee index was 50.0%, up 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, at the critical point, indicating that manufacturing enterprises with little change compared with the previous month.

Raw material inventory index was 48.3%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, continue below the critical point, indicating that the main raw material inventories continue to decline.

Vendor delivery time index of 50.3%, although down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, but still higher than the critical point, indicating that the manufacturing raw material suppliers delivery time is slightly faster.

In March 2017, China's non-manufacturing business activity index was 55.1%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, rising to nearly three years high, further expansion of the pace of non-manufacturing expansion.

Sub-sectors, the service business activity index was 54.2%, up 1.0 percentage points from the previous month, the service industry continued steady progress. The business activities index, such as retail trade, air transport industry, postal industry, Internet and software information technology service, monetary and financial services, capital market service and insurance industry, are all in the higher boom area of ​​55.0% and so on. The Road transport, catering, real estate, residential services and repair industry and other sectors of the business activity index is below the critical point, the total business has come down. Construction business activity index was 60.5%, higher than last month 0.4 percentage points, the expansion rate has accelerated.

The new orders index was 51.9%, up 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, continuing the expansion in the range, indicating that the non-manufacturing market demand growth accelerated. In the sub-sector, the new order index for services was 51.7%, up 1.2 percentage points from the previous month and above the critical point. New orders for the construction industry index of 53.3%, although down 1.5 percentage points from the previous month, but still higher than the critical point.

The input price index was 52.3%, down from 1.4 percentage points last month, still above the critical point, indicating that the overall level of input prices for non-manufacturing enterprises for production operations continued to narrow. Sub-sectors, the service industry input price index was 51.0%, down 1.2 percentage points from the previous month. Construction industry input price index was 59.8%, down 1.8 percentage points from the previous month.

The sales price index was 49.7%, down 1.7 percentage points from the previous month and fell below the critical point, indicating a decrease in the overall level of non-manufacturing sales. Sub-sectors, the service industry sales price index was 48.9%, down 2.2 percentage points from the previous month. Construction sales price index was 54.3%, up 1.0 percentage points from the previous month.

Employers' index was 49.1%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, continuing below the critical point, indicating that the number of non-manufacturing practitioners continued to decline. Sub-sectors, the service industry practitioners index was 48.8%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous month. Construction industry employees index was 50.8%, down 6.3 percentage points from the previous month.

Expected business activity index was 61.3%, although down 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, but still in the high boom range.

In this regard, the National Bureau of Statistics Service Survey Center senior economist Zhao Qinghe conducted an interpretation.

First, the manufacturing purchasing managers index continued to rise

In March, the manufacturing PMI was 51.8%, higher than last month 0.2 percentage points, rising for two consecutive months, the manufacturing sector continued to maintain a steady trend. First, production and market demand growth accelerated. The index for production and the new orders index were 54.2% and 53.3%, respectively, up 0.5 and 0.3 percentage points from the previous month. In the production and demand to pick up at the same time, enterprises to increase procurement efforts, procurement index was 53.4%, a larger increase, higher than last month 2.0 percentage points. Second, high-tech manufacturing continued rapid expansion, part of the traditional industry production and management conditions continue to improve. High-tech manufacturing PMI was 54.2%, higher than the overall manufacturing 2.4 percentage points. PMI in traditional industries such as oil processing and coking industry, non-metallic mineral products industry, ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry increased for two consecutive months, higher than the overall level of manufacturing this month. Third, the import and export continued expansion trend. The new export order index and import index were 51.0% and 50.5% respectively, all for 5 consecutive months in the expansion interval. Fourth, raw material prices slowed down gains. The purchase price index and ex-factory price index for the major raw materials were 59.3% and 53.2% respectively, down 4.9 and 3.1 percentage points respectively from the previous month.

From the survey results, this month to reflect the tightening of the proportion of enterprises rebounded to 41.1%, especially small businesses with the operating conditions improved, more than 50% of the enterprises reflect the financing difficult to finance the problem. In addition, the main raw material purchase price index and the ex-factory price index of the ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry continued to rise at a high level of 68.9% and 73.5% respectively, and the ex-factory price index was higher than the main raw material purchase price index for two consecutive months. attention.

According to the scale of enterprises, the PMI of large enterprises was 53.3%, unchanged from the previous month, and maintained steady growth. The PMI of medium-sized enterprises was 50.4%, 0.1 percentage points lower than that of last month, and the PMI was 48.6% Month rose 2.2 percentage points, the contraction rate was significantly narrowed.

Second, non-manufacturing business activity index has rebounded

In March, China's non-manufacturing business activity index was 55.1%, up 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, rising to nearly three years high, further expansion of the pace of non-manufacturing expansion.

The service sector continues to be steady. Business activity index was 54.2%, respectively, higher than last month and 1.0 and 1.1 percentage points over the same period last year, the service industry boom further rise. The new orders index was 51.7%, up 1.2 percentage points from the previous month, rebounded for two consecutive months, the market demand continued to improve.

In the manufacturing economy stabilized, driven by the growth rate of producer services and logistics industry for two consecutive months, this month's business activity index rose to 61.0% and 57.7%, are the highs this year. The business activities index of retail, air transport, postal services, Internet and software information technology services, monetary and financial services, capital market services and insurance are all in the higher boom area of ​​55.0% or more. fast. Road transport, catering, real estate, residential services and repair industry business activity index is below the critical point, the total business has come down.

The expansion of the construction industry has accelerated. This year, with the advancement of major construction projects in China, infrastructure investment gradually accelerated, the overall construction industry to maintain rapid growth. The index for business activities was 60.5%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous month. Among them, the housing construction and civil engineering construction business activity index were 61.5% and 60.6%, are in the high boom interval. From the market expectations, the construction industry business expectations is 66.7%, rising for three consecutive months, since July 2015 highs, business confidence in the future market continues to increase.